Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001013 0.001148 0.001289 0.001449 0.001624 0.001809 0.002020
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000758 0.000940 0.001144 0.001389 0.001673 0.001991 0.002371
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000626 0.000826 0.001061 0.001354 0.001709 0.002119 0.002625
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000539 0.000752 0.001012 0.001350 0.001770 0.002269 0.002902
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000474 0.000695 0.000975 0.001350 0.001829 0.002412 0.003168
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000415 0.000638 0.000932 0.001335 0.001865 0.002524 0.003394
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000362 0.000584 0.000886 0.001312 0.001884 0.002612 0.003589
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000334 0.000562 0.000880 0.001340 0.001970 0.002784 0.003893
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000309 0.000540 0.000872 0.001362 0.002046 0.002944 0.004183
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000274 0.000500 0.000835 0.001341 0.002062 0.003022 0.004367
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000241 0.000461 0.000795 0.001314 0.002065 0.003083 0.004528
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000223 0.000443 0.000786 0.001328 0.002127 0.003223 0.004795
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000207 0.000427 0.000778 0.001345 0.002194 0.003373 0.005082
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000181 0.000391 0.000737 0.001310 0.002183 0.003414 0.005221
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000357 0.000697 0.001272 0.002165 0.003443 0.005341
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000142 0.000338 0.000680 0.001268 0.002198 0.003544 0.005565
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000321 0.000665 0.001268 0.002235 0.003651 0.005796
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000301 0.000643 0.001254 0.002250 0.003726 0.005983
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000280 0.000616 0.001232 0.002250 0.003778 0.006137
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000275 0.000619 0.001259 0.002328 0.003947 0.006465
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000269 0.000619 0.001280 0.002397 0.004103 0.006775
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000251 0.000596 0.001260 0.002399 0.004157 0.006935
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000233 0.000570 0.001234 0.002389 0.004193 0.007067